{"id":2471,"date":"2018-01-08T11:45:21","date_gmt":"2018-01-08T10:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=2471"},"modified":"2018-01-08T11:45:21","modified_gmt":"2018-01-08T10:45:21","slug":"satisfactory-survey-numbers-from-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=2471","title":{"rendered":"\u201cSatisfactory survey numbers from China\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

LNU\u2019s China Panel No 24 re-visited \u2013 January 8, 2018<\/strong><\/p>\n

In the beginning of December, Linnaeus University prepared its traditional fall\/winter survey on the business climate and economic conditions in China, both with shorter and longer time perspectives. The (independent) responding China experts \u2013 around 15 of them – come from Asia, the U.S. and Europe \u2013 thanks a lot!<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, the publication of the survey took place on December 22\/23 when seasonal holidays already had started for many readers. For this this reason, we re-publish the results of the survey, provided with some additional comments. We see no reason why any result from the December Panel should be obsolete already today.<\/p>\n

Summary: LNU\u2019s China Panel remains cautiously optimistic on China \u2013 despite the risks\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a4 LNU\u2019s \u201cTemperature Indicator\u201d for GDP growth remained stable at 6.1 in December 2017 compared to 6.4 in May 2017 – still satisfactory despite the small decrease (10 means \u201cvery hot\u201d on the scale).<\/p>\n

\u00a4 The panel expects Chinese GDP growth to come in at 6.2 percent in 2018 as a whole and at – somewhat slower – 6 percent in q4 2018. But also this latter number would still be acceptable inside and outside China.<\/p>\n

\u00a4 The forecasts of the panel have rather a downward bias than an upward bias.<\/p>\n

\u00a4 There are very divided views on the course of the currency RMB in 2018.<\/p>\n

\u00a4 GDP growth is seen at 5.6 percent on average until 2022 (five years from now).<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Click to zoom the image.<\/em><\/p>\n

Download the full article here, chinapanelno24-re jan 2018<\/a>.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Hubert Fromlet<\/em><\/strong>
\n<\/em>Affiliate Professor at the School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University
\nEditorial board<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Back to Start Page<\/a>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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