{"id":3145,"date":"2021-02-24T07:00:27","date_gmt":"2021-02-24T06:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145"},"modified":"2021-02-23T13:49:44","modified_gmt":"2021-02-23T12:49:44","slug":"chinas-political-leaders-will-soon-give-important-messages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of next week, China\u2019s most important political decision makers and delegates from all over the country will come together in Beijing to join the National People\u2019s Congress (NPC), the formal legislative organ of the People\u2019s Republic and often in the West described as a kind of parliament. The NPC is always &#8211; both formally and informatively &#8211; an important event. This year, the NPC should be regarded as even more important than usual (more about this below). There are at least five outstanding ingredients the Chinese leaders probably will promote at the NPC as success stories of yesterday, today, and probably tomorrow:<\/p>\n<p>\u00a4\u00a0 the elimination of absolute poverty in 2020 \u2013 indeed a major success;<\/p>\n<p>\u00a4\u00a0 not the situation but the consequence of the political tensions with the U.S. and the EU, making it possible for China to demonstrate its capacity of increasing political and military power; exciting to watch what tone with the U.S will be applied;<\/p>\n<p>\u00a4\u00a0 the superiority of China in the systemic fight against covid-19, and the achievement having been the only major economy with positive GDP growth in 2020; furthermore, I really would be surprised if the official GDP forecast for 2021 looked modest; 8 is the luckiest number in China, so I predict a GDP goal in 2021 at 8% (or somewhat lower, 7-8%);<\/p>\n<p>\u00a4\u00a0 the new 5-year plan, possibly being presented again in a positive Communist Party (CPC) centenary spirit with more details \u2013 maybe including applicable plans how possibly to convert China into a high-income country;<\/p>\n<p>\u00a4\u00a0 the strong vision of making it possible for China to double its GDP per capita by 2035 \u2013 hopefully explained by revealing details.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2021: A very special year \u2013 the centenary of the Communist Party of China<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>All these &#8211; in CPC sense &#8211; good news for the Chinese people will be embedded in a particularly positive way because of the 100<sup>th <\/sup>anniversary of the foundation of the Communist Party of China. This should be kept in mind when interpreting different NPC speeches starting on March 5.<\/p>\n<p>It will be very interesting to observe how concrete or vague different objectives will be presented at the NPC \u2013 particularly when it comes to China\u2019s high-tech future and the way to manage the objectives of the \u201cMade in China 2025 plans\u201d and beyond. What will the President of China and CPC Chairman Xi Jinping tell the NPC audience more concretely about the long-term objectives and projects until 2035? Hopefully more about envisaged social and environmental improvements. Certain official hints in this direction have already been made in a previous official outline for long-term goals until 2035.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, I am very keen to know whether a reasonable evaluation of the reform plans from the Third Plenum of 2013 until 2020 will be presented (which originally was planned for 2020). Last year, I could not find any detailed evaluation.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lnu.se\/api\/media\/12178-fw350fh461cy28cw350ch350\" alt=\"\" width=\"110\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Hubert Fromlet<\/em><\/strong><em><br \/>\n<\/em>Affiliate Professor at the School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University<br \/>\n<a href=\"..\/editorial-board\/\">Editorial board<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\">Back to Start Page<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of next week, China\u2019s most important political decision makers and delegates from all over the country will come together in Beijing to join the National People\u2019s Congress (NPC), the formal legislative organ of the People\u2019s Republic and often in the West described as a kind of parliament. The NPC is always &#8211; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":174,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13398],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-2"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages - China Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages - China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"At the end of next week, China\u2019s most important political decision makers and delegates from all over the country will come together in Beijing to join the National People\u2019s Congress (NPC), the formal legislative organ of the People\u2019s Republic and often in the West described as a kind of parliament. The NPC is always &#8211; [&hellip;]\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-02-24T06:00:27+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-02-23T12:49:44+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lnu.se\/api\/media\/12178-fw350fh461cy28cw350ch350\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145\",\"name\":\"China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages - China Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-02-24T06:00:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-02-23T12:49:44+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/7dbc3e79d44dfa0d6bb4e1f625ad2ae5\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/\",\"name\":\"China Research\",\"description\":\"A discussion forum on emerging markets, mainly China  \u2013                                          from a macro, micro, institutional and corporate angle.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/7dbc3e79d44dfa0d6bb4e1f625ad2ae5\",\"name\":\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?author=174\"}]}<\/script>\r\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages - China Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3145","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"China\u2019s political leaders will soon give important messages - China Research","og_description":"At the end of next week, China\u2019s most important political decision makers and delegates from all over the country will come together in Beijing to join the National People\u2019s Congress (NPC), the formal legislative organ of the People\u2019s Republic and often in the West described as a kind of parliament. 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