{"id":3184,"date":"2021-05-06T08:12:36","date_gmt":"2021-05-06T07:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184"},"modified":"2021-05-06T08:26:32","modified_gmt":"2021-05-06T07:26:32","slug":"brazil-in-big-corona-troubles-next-years-presidential-election-the-only-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184","title":{"rendered":"Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brazil\u2019s political, economic and social developments remain a mass. Currently, there is almost no light on the horizon.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The social misery <\/strong>(apart from the &#8211; since many years back &#8211; well-known problems)<strong>: <\/strong>Covid-19 is a nightmare for this giant country, causing mountains of pain and sorrow. Officially, Brazilian infection (incidence) numbers are currently in relative terms even lower than in Sweden \u2013 but most probably much higher than reported (officially 15 million infections which is 7 % of the whole population and more than 400\u00a0000 deaths; 7 % is also the share for \u00a0the fully vaccinated people <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/\">https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>The political misery: <\/strong>Jair Bolsonaro\u2019s presidency has been widely failing, probably also to a high extent in the eyes of his conservative supporters from the presidential election in 2018. Is does not either seem probably that the Brazilian corporate sector can be happy so far with Bolsonaro\u2019s efforts and results. His empathy for the terrible covid-19 disease must be regarded as completely insufficient \u2013 despite the fact that he personally was infected as well.<\/p>\n<p>Consequently, many Brazilians see their hope for a better future in a promising change of president in October 2022, hopefully beyond the acute covid-19-crisis. What Brazil primarily needs are major improvements of institutions and education, now and in the longer run.<\/p>\n<p>Can former union leader and Brazilian president Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (2003-2011) really be able to run for presidency in 2022 year\u2019s elections? He may be eligible again after the Brazilian Supreme Court justice had turned down severe corruption charges against him. Anyway, during his time as a president, Lula achieved some progress in education and socially \u2013 but to what extent can he leave the previous accusations of corruption behind?<\/p>\n<p><strong>The economic misery: <\/strong>Looking at the current economic situation, does not make things better. There is no preliminary result for GDP in Q1 yet &#8211; but survey results for PMI indices have come down more recently. Furthermore, interest rates have been hiked in 2021, and unemployment has been climbing up. Brazil\u2019s hope for an economic recovery is certainly related to visible progress in the fight against corona \u2013 but in the short run possibly even more to a global economic recovery and to better conditions for Brazilians exports already in the forthcoming quarters.<\/p>\n<p>In the meanwhile, we also should hope for relief in the terrible Indian pandemic!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lnu.se\/api\/media\/12178-fw350fh461cy28cw350ch350\" alt=\"\" width=\"110\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Hubert Fromlet<\/em><\/strong><em><br \/>\n<\/em>Affiliate Professor at the School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University<br \/>\n<a href=\"..\/editorial-board\/\">Editorial board<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\">Back to Start Page<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brazil\u2019s political, economic and social developments remain a mass. Currently, there is almost no light on the horizon. The social misery (apart from the &#8211; since many years back &#8211; well-known problems): Covid-19 is a nightmare for this giant country, causing mountains of pain and sorrow. Officially, Brazilian infection (incidence) numbers are currently in relative [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":174,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18943],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-brazil-and-mexico"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope? - China Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope? - China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Brazil\u2019s political, economic and social developments remain a mass. Currently, there is almost no light on the horizon. The social misery (apart from the &#8211; since many years back &#8211; well-known problems): Covid-19 is a nightmare for this giant country, causing mountains of pain and sorrow. Officially, Brazilian infection (incidence) numbers are currently in relative [&hellip;]\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-05-06T07:12:36+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-05-06T07:26:32+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lnu.se\/api\/media\/12178-fw350fh461cy28cw350ch350\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184\",\"name\":\"Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope? - China Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-05-06T07:12:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-05-06T07:26:32+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/7dbc3e79d44dfa0d6bb4e1f625ad2ae5\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/\",\"name\":\"China Research\",\"description\":\"A discussion forum on emerging markets, mainly China  \u2013                                          from a macro, micro, institutional and corporate angle.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/7dbc3e79d44dfa0d6bb4e1f625ad2ae5\",\"name\":\"Hubert Fromlet, Kalmar\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?author=174\"}]}<\/script>\r\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope? - China Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3184","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Brazil in big corona troubles \u2013 next year\u2019s presidential election the only hope? - China Research","og_description":"Brazil\u2019s political, economic and social developments remain a mass. 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