{"id":3810,"date":"2026-11-13T07:41:16","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T06:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810"},"modified":"2026-11-13T07:41:17","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T06:41:17","slug":"boom-years-to-come-for-south-america","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810","title":{"rendered":"Boom years to come for South America?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Currently, South America is receiving increasingly positive forecasts by international investors. This optimism is mainly motivated by high commodity prices and liberal reforms in some countries. However, I have heard this story before. More evidence is needed to believe in a forthcoming success story for South America.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>So far uneven and only slight upswing<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In my memory, South America has never been a broadly booming continent. And Brazil, by far the most important economy in South America, has been considered as an emerging country with a big potential through many years &#8211; without really sticking to its opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to most predictions, South American GDP growth will slow down somewhat in 2026 compared to 2025 &#8211; and only see a slight improvement to&nbsp;around 2 1\/2&nbsp;percent next year. Such a growth outlook can hardly be described as a boom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at different countries, Paraguay and Peru seem to look better than the two biggest economies, Brazil&nbsp;and Argentina. Also after the re-election of president Lula, expectations of clearly better Brazilian economic growth remain limited.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, it does not look probable that Argentina will perform visibly better next year &#8211; nor will probably the other South American economies. Only Venezuela may achieve a notable growth improvement &#8211; but from very depressed levels.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Conclusion<\/strong>: Sure, a commodity boom may support South American economies in forthcoming years. But we also know about the volatility of commodity prices. I would feel much more confident about South America if all &#8211; or most &#8211; countries finally could go for comprehensive institutional reforms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Hubert Fromlet<\/em><\/strong><br>Affiliate Professor at the School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Currently, South America is receiving increasingly positive forecasts by international investors. This optimism is mainly motivated by high commodity prices and liberal reforms in some countries. However, I have heard this story before. More evidence is needed to believe in a forthcoming success story for South America. So far uneven and only slight upswing In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":126,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13398],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-2"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Boom years to come for South America? - China Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Boom years to come for South America? - China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Currently, South America is receiving increasingly positive forecasts by international investors. This optimism is mainly motivated by high commodity prices and liberal reforms in some countries. However, I have heard this story before. More evidence is needed to believe in a forthcoming success story for South America. So far uneven and only slight upswing In [&hellip;]\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"China Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-11-13T06:41:16+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-11-13T06:41:17+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Hubert Fromlet\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810\",\"name\":\"Boom years to come for South America? - China Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-11-13T06:41:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-11-13T06:41:17+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3b67b85e96d1cc89d09dda3a189b38\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/\",\"name\":\"China Research\",\"description\":\"A discussion forum on emerging markets, mainly China  \u2013                                          from a macro, micro, institutional and corporate angle.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3b67b85e96d1cc89d09dda3a189b38\",\"name\":\"Hubert Fromlet\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?author=126\"}]}<\/script>\r\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Boom years to come for South America? - China Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Boom years to come for South America? - China Research","og_description":"Currently, South America is receiving increasingly positive forecasts by international investors. This optimism is mainly motivated by high commodity prices and liberal reforms in some countries. However, I have heard this story before. More evidence is needed to believe in a forthcoming success story for South America. So far uneven and only slight upswing In [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810","og_site_name":"China Research","article_published_time":"2026-11-13T06:41:16+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-11-13T06:41:17+00:00","author":"Hubert Fromlet","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Hubert Fromlet","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810","url":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810","name":"Boom years to come for South America? - China Research","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-11-13T06:41:16+00:00","dateModified":"2026-11-13T06:41:17+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3b67b85e96d1cc89d09dda3a189b38"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?p=3810"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#website","url":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/","name":"China Research","description":"A discussion forum on emerging markets, mainly China  \u2013                                          from a macro, micro, institutional and corporate angle.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/#\/schema\/person\/3c3b67b85e96d1cc89d09dda3a189b38","name":"Hubert Fromlet","url":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/?author=126"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3810","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/126"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3810"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3810\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3812,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3810\/revisions\/3812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3810"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3810"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/china-research\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3810"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}