{"id":308,"date":"2011-04-04T07:17:29","date_gmt":"2011-04-04T05:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fromlet.bbsresearch.se\/?p=308"},"modified":"2011-04-04T07:17:29","modified_gmt":"2011-04-04T05:17:29","slug":"den-japanska-tragedin-ekonomiska-prognoser-ar-just-nu-meningslosa-the-japanese-tragedy-forget-about-economic-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308","title":{"rendered":"Den japanska tragedin  &#8211;  ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa &#8211; The Japanese tragedy:  forget about economic forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the past weeks, I have been reading dozens of forecasts on the Japanese economy after the tsunami and the nuclear tragedy. Scientifically, such a kind of forecast never can make sense because of the fact that important variables cannot be estimated and quantified.<\/p>\n<p>The other argument against all these judgments on the economic future of Japan is ethically oriented. I cannot find it appropriate to express the Japanese catastrophe in GDP numbers at this very moment.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to know more on this issue, you can read my article in \u201cDagens Industri\u201d from March 17 and an interview with me in \u201cAff\u00e4rsv\u00e4rlden\u201d from March 23 (both in Swedish).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/di.se\/Artiklar\/2011\/3\/17\/230487\/Debatt-Ratinginstituten-borde-lamna-Japan-i-fred\/\">http:\/\/di.se\/Artiklar\/2011\/3\/17\/230487\/Debatt-Ratinginstituten-borde-lamna-Japan-i-fred\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.affarsvarlden.se\/tidningen\/article3132879.ece\">http:\/\/www.affarsvarlden.se\/tidningen\/article3132879.ece<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the past weeks, I have been reading dozens of forecasts on the Japanese economy after the tsunami and the nuclear tragedy. Scientifically, such a kind of forecast never can make sense because of the fact that important variables cannot be estimated and quantified. The other argument against all these judgments on the economic future [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":352,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Den japanska tragedin - ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa - The Japanese tragedy: forget about economic forecasts - Baltic Business Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Den japanska tragedin - ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa - The Japanese tragedy: forget about economic forecasts - Baltic Business Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In the past weeks, I have been reading dozens of forecasts on the Japanese economy after the tsunami and the nuclear tragedy. Scientifically, such a kind of forecast never can make sense because of the fact that important variables cannot be estimated and quantified. The other argument against all these judgments on the economic future [&hellip;]\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Baltic Business Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-04-04T05:17:29+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"hubert\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"hubert\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minut\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308\",\"name\":\"Den japanska tragedin - ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa - The Japanese tragedy: forget about economic forecasts - Baltic Business Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2011-04-04T05:17:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2011-04-04T05:17:29+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/#\/schema\/person\/ac4aba9641e918c080d4110e3b8b77a7\"},\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/\",\"name\":\"Baltic Business Research\",\"description\":\"Hubert Fromlet diskuterar den svenska och internationella ekonomin\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/#\/schema\/person\/ac4aba9641e918c080d4110e3b8b77a7\",\"name\":\"hubert\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?author=352\"}]}<\/script>\r\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Den japanska tragedin - ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa - The Japanese tragedy: forget about economic forecasts - Baltic Business Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=308","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"Den japanska tragedin - ekonomiska prognoser \u00e4r just nu meningsl\u00f6sa - The Japanese tragedy: forget about economic forecasts - Baltic Business Research","og_description":"In the past weeks, I have been reading dozens of forecasts on the Japanese economy after the tsunami and the nuclear tragedy. 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