{"id":345,"date":"2011-12-21T10:23:19","date_gmt":"2011-12-21T08:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fromlet.bbsresearch.se\/?p=345"},"modified":"2011-12-21T10:23:19","modified_gmt":"2011-12-21T08:23:19","slug":"china-panel-no-13-2011-decrease-of-our-overheating-indicator-in-december-and-somewhat-increasing-concerns-for-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=345","title":{"rendered":"China Panel No 13, 2011: Decrease of our overheating indicator in December \u2013 and (somewhat) increasing concerns for 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Summary<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Our so-called <strong>overheating indicator<\/strong> declined in      December to <strong>5.9<\/strong> from 7.3 in      May. This is a more or less expected downturn (our main headline from May      2011: \u201dSome cooling down seems to become reality\u201d). Almost 25 China experts from Asia, the U.S and Europe came together for this survey.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GDP      forecasts (%, average)<\/strong>:\u00a0 2011:\u00a0 9.2;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2012:\u00a0 8.3;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0      2012q4:\u00a0 7.8;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2013:\u00a0 8.0<\/li>\n<li>62 percent of the      panelists foresee that the currency RMB will see only a slight <strong>appreciation<\/strong> \u2013 up to 5 percent &#8211;      vis-\u00e0-vis the U.S. dollar in 2012 &#8211; probably motivated by tougher      conditions for exports.<\/li>\n<li>92 percent of the      panelists still conclude that there is a dangerous bubble on the <strong>real estate market<\/strong> (May 2011: 100      percent). Concerns about the Chinese stock market are now more limited.<\/li>\n<li>The panel\u2019s grading      of <strong>confidence in the Chinese      economy<\/strong> looks as follows:<br \/>\n(5 = very high confidence;\u00a0 1 = very      low confidence)<br \/>\n3 years from now: 3.7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 5 years from now: 3.4\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 10 years from now: 3.0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Some <strong>other grading<\/strong> (10 = very      high\/good;\u00a0 1 = very low\/poor):<br \/>\n<strong>Institutions<\/strong>: 4.9 (2010: 4.5)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <strong>Statistics<\/strong>:      4.8 (2010: 4.2)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <strong>Accounting<\/strong>: 4.6 (2010: )<br \/>\n<strong>Transparency<\/strong>\u2026<strong>in economic policy<\/strong>: 3.4 (2010: 2.8      )\u2026 <strong>in financial markets<\/strong>: 3.3      (2010: 3.6)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bbs.hik.se\/resurser\/dokument\/fromlet\/GDP2011_2.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"504\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbs.hik.se\/resurser\/dokument\/fromlet\/China_Panel_Dec 2011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Read the full China Panel No 13, 2011 report<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Our so-called overheating indicator declined in December to 5.9 from 7.3 in May. This is a more or less expected downturn (our main headline from May 2011: \u201dSome cooling down seems to become reality\u201d). Almost 25 China experts from Asia, the U.S and Europe came together for this survey. GDP forecasts (%, average):\u00a0 2011:\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":352,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-345","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>China Panel No 13, 2011: Decrease of our overheating indicator in December \u2013 and (somewhat) increasing concerns for 2012  - Baltic Business Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=345\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China Panel No 13, 2011: Decrease of our overheating indicator in December \u2013 and (somewhat) increasing concerns for 2012  - Baltic Business Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary Our so-called overheating indicator declined in December to 5.9 from 7.3 in May. This is a more or less expected downturn (our main headline from May 2011: \u201dSome cooling down seems to become reality\u201d). Almost 25 China experts from Asia, the U.S and Europe came together for this survey. 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