{"id":808,"date":"2022-10-06T10:07:06","date_gmt":"2022-10-06T09:07:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=808"},"modified":"2022-10-06T10:15:46","modified_gmt":"2022-10-06T09:15:46","slug":"prize-in-economics-in-memory-of-alfred-nobel-my-favorite-female-candidates-from-2021-2022-without-updating-in-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=808","title":{"rendered":"Prize in Economics in Memory of Alfred Nobel &#8211; my favorite female candidates from 2021 \/ 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>(without updating in 2022)<\/h3>\n<p>It is hard to predict the winner(s) of the Nobel Prize in Economics (formally:\u201dThe Riksbank\u2019s Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel\u201d). There are around 200-300 serious candidates. In the past 21 years, I predicted 25 out of totally 40 winners (62 %), mainly by checking out the research areas that deserved the award and by then trying to find the most outstanding researchers in those areas.<\/p>\n<p>Like in the past years, I do <em>not<\/em> mainly focus on the <em>most<\/em> <em>probable<\/em> <em>forecasts<\/em> for the leading candidates. I concentrate instead again on summing up a number of <strong>economists <\/strong>who now would deserve the award according to my own view \u2013 and there are lots of further names just outside my list. I conclude that there should be room for courageous prize decisions \u2013 again when it comes to gender but also to the ethnical and geographical background. For time reasons, I keep all my lists from 2021 almost unchanged. No new names were added in 2022. 2021 was my final \u201cguestimate\u201d but there is still a good chance that this year\u2019s Nobel laureate(s) can be found in my old list of candidates from 2021.<\/p>\n<p>My preferred <strong>5<u> female candidates<\/u> <\/strong>were in 2021 and remain in 2022 (without ranking): <strong>Susan Athey <\/strong>(Stanford), <strong>Marianne Bertrand<\/strong> (Chicago), <strong>Janet Currie <\/strong>(Princeton), <strong>Claudia Goldin <\/strong>(Harvard) and <strong>Anne Krueger <\/strong>(Johns Hopkins University).<\/p>\n<p>I also used in 2021<strong><u> 21 candidates from 2017<\/u><\/strong> who in 2022 still should have a probability of around 10 percent to be among this year\u2019s winner(s) and <strong>14 new names <\/strong>compared to 2017, replacing 9 suggested economists who got the prize in the past four years and 6 professors who passed away during 2018-2021\/2022. Unfortunately, one more outstanding professor passed away in June 2022 (Dale Jorgenson). Furthermore, I publish a list from 2017 with one later amendment what I call \u201c<strong><u>courageous choices\u201d<\/u><\/strong><u>. <\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Research areas<\/u><\/strong> that should be focused on in <strong><u>2021\/2022<\/u><\/strong> are still according to my preference,in this order:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a4 labor market economics\/the welfare state,<br \/>\n\u00a4 banking and financial markets (not so much monetary policy),<br \/>\n\u00a4 politics, law, the environment, health, sociology, gender issues \u2013 all with links to economics,<br \/>\n\u00a4 links between microeconomics and macroeconomics, statistical methods and econometrics.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n<p>My <strong><u>own favorites<\/u><\/strong> in 2021 \/ 2022 (without considering probability) are \/ were again female candidates &#8211; with Claudia Goldin, Janet Currie and Marianne Bertrand in the lead. But I also like Daron Acemoglu, Joshua Angrist, Richard Blundell, Kevin Murphy, Jagdish Bhagwati or Mark Granovetter to make it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read the full article here<\/strong>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/files\/2022\/10\/Nobel-Candidates-2022.pdf\">Nobel Candidates 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Hubert Fromlet<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(without updating in 2022) It is hard to predict the winner(s) of the Nobel Prize in Economics (formally:\u201dThe Riksbank\u2019s Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel\u201d). There are around 200-300 serious candidates. In the past 21 years, I predicted 25 out of totally 40 winners (62 %), mainly by checking out the research [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":349,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blogg"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Prize in Economics in Memory of Alfred Nobel - my favorite female candidates from 2021 \/ 2022 - Baltic Business Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=808\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Prize in Economics in Memory of Alfred Nobel - my favorite female candidates from 2021 \/ 2022 - Baltic Business Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(without updating in 2022) It is hard to predict the winner(s) of the Nobel Prize in Economics (formally:\u201dThe Riksbank\u2019s Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel\u201d). 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