{"id":824,"date":"2023-08-17T09:15:35","date_gmt":"2023-08-17T08:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=824"},"modified":"2023-08-17T09:15:35","modified_gmt":"2023-08-17T08:15:35","slug":"alltjamt-otillrackliga-forklaringar-for-svag-krona-och-for-prognosmissar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=824","title":{"rendered":"Alltj\u00e4mt otillr\u00e4ckliga f\u00f6rklaringar f\u00f6r svag krona &#8211; och f\u00f6r prognosmissar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Facit f\u00f6r kronprognoser under de senaste 25 \u00e5ren ter sig allt annat \u00e4n tillfredsst\u00e4llande. Valutaexperter, riksbankschefer och m\u00e5nga politiker h\u00e4r hemma reagerade m\u00e5nga g\u00e5nger p\u00e5 p\u00e5tagliga kronfall och icke infriade kronprognoser med kommentaren \u201dkronan borde ha blivit\/vara eller bli starkare\u201d, vilket ofta inte infriades. Hur blir det denna g\u00e5ng?<\/p>\n<p>Hur som helst, dessa typer av kronbed\u00f6mningar eller -prognoser med skepsis gentemot valutamarknaden saknade\/saknar tv\u00e5 kraftigt underskattade ingredienser &#8211; det vill s\u00e4ga finansmarknadspsykologi (behavioral finance) och p\u00e5 annat s\u00e4tt till\u00e4mpad psykologi s\u00e5som kvarlevande historiska f\u00f6rtroendeunderskott av olika slag.<\/p>\n<p>Mer om dessa kognitiva f\u00f6rklaringsfaktorer f\u00f6r den p\u00e5g\u00e5ende kronkrisen kan l\u00e4sas i min n\u00e4tartikel i Dagens Industri (DI) fr\u00e5n den 26 juli i \u00e5r, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.di.se\/debatt\/se-psykologin-i-kronfallet\/\">https:\/\/www.di.se\/debatt\/se-psykologin-i-kronfallet\/<\/a>&#8211; eller i DI:s papperstidning som utkom en dag senare.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hubert Fromlet<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Facit f\u00f6r kronprognoser under de senaste 25 \u00e5ren ter sig allt annat \u00e4n tillfredsst\u00e4llande. Valutaexperter, riksbankschefer och m\u00e5nga politiker h\u00e4r hemma reagerade m\u00e5nga g\u00e5nger p\u00e5 p\u00e5tagliga kronfall och icke infriade kronprognoser med kommentaren \u201dkronan borde ha blivit\/vara eller bli starkare\u201d, vilket ofta inte infriades. Hur blir det denna g\u00e5ng? Hur som helst, dessa typer av [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":349,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blogg"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Alltj\u00e4mt otillr\u00e4ckliga f\u00f6rklaringar f\u00f6r svag krona - och f\u00f6r prognosmissar - Baltic Business Research<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogg.lnu.se\/fromlet-bbsresearch\/?p=824\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alltj\u00e4mt otillr\u00e4ckliga f\u00f6rklaringar f\u00f6r svag krona - och f\u00f6r prognosmissar - Baltic Business Research\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Facit f\u00f6r kronprognoser under de senaste 25 \u00e5ren ter sig allt annat \u00e4n tillfredsst\u00e4llande. 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